Tag Archives: inflation

Bending the health care cost curve over 15 years

My favorite chart from this morning’s CPI release

Consumer Prices in Line with Expectations

The headline numbers in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in March, buoyed by higher energy prices, mainly motor fuel, which rose 3.9% in March.

Saving Rate Rises

Real personal disposable income growth increased at a more muted 0.2% pace in February, on the heels of higher prices at the pump. Revisions to January were to the upside, but only slightly. Overall income growth remained solid during the first two months of the year, in response to solid employment growth and a pickup [...]

Inflation Remains Tepid

The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% in February, with a slight uptick in prices at the pump and accelerating rents offsetting a drop in prices elsewhere in the economy. Indeed, overall inflation measures were essentially flat when compared with a year ago. The core (non-food and non-energy) measure of the CPI rose 1.7% from [...]

PPI Continues to Cool Down

The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand fell 0.5% in February after plummeting 0.8% in January. Moreover, the bulk of those declines (70%) occurred in services as opposed to goods, which had been weighed down by falling oil prices in recent months. The decline in services was dominated by a loss in margins for [...]

Inventories Less of a Problem in Fourth Quarter

Real GDP was revised down to 2.2% in the fourth quarter from an initial estimate of 2.6%. A sharp downward revision to inventories was the primary reason for the revision, which leaves less of an overhang for producers to drain in early 2015. Imports were also revised up, reflecting the phenomenal strength of consumer spending

Energy Prices Pull CPI Lower

The Consumer Price Index dropped 0.7% in January but only 0.1% from a year ago. Falling energy prices were the primary reason prices fell

Production Tempered by Energy Losses

The index of industrial production rose 0.2% in January, less than many had hoped after a decline of 0.3% in December. Gains in manufacturing activity, which were driven by a pickup in utilities production, were tempered by a loss in the mining sector.

A Statement for Everyone

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to do nothing and signal nothing at the January meeting. The committee upgraded its assessment of the economy to reflect what was most likely a strong end to 2014. That said, members also acknowledged that wage growth, inflation and the housing market remain cooler than they would [...]