Tag Archives: manufacturing

Inventories Less of a Problem in Fourth Quarter

Real GDP was revised down to 2.2% in the fourth quarter from an initial estimate of 2.6%. A sharp downward revision to inventories was the primary reason for the revision, which leaves less of an overhang for producers to drain in early 2015. Imports were also revised up, reflecting the phenomenal strength of consumer spending

Durable Goods Orders Rebound

Durable goods orders increased 2.8% in January, only partially offsetting two months of ugly declines. An increase in aircraft orders was the primary reason for the turnaround. Orders for nondefense aircraft and parts surged a whopping 128.5% in January. Other pockets of strength included machinery and computing equipment,

Production Tempered by Energy Losses

The index of industrial production rose 0.2% in January, less than many had hoped after a decline of 0.3% in December. Gains in manufacturing activity, which were driven by a pickup in utilities production, were tempered by a loss in the mining sector.

Durable Goods Orders Decline

Durable goods orders unexpectedly dropped 3.4% in December following data revised downward for November; that marks the fourth decline in five months. Headline data were weighed down again by transportation equipment, which has been struggling in recent months.  Even the new orders ex-transportation show a decline of 0.8%. Looking at core capital goods (the best indicator [...]

Industrial Production Better than Headline

Industrial production fell 0.1% in December after surging 1.3% the month prior. Moreover, the fall in production was due to a drop in utilities. We also saw some declines in vehicle production, representing a need to liquidate inventories. Manufacturing, however, still managed to increase

Mixed Data on Construction and Manufacturing

Construction spending fell 0.3% in November after surging a revised 1.2% in October. A sharp drop in public outlays, which led October gains, accounted for much of the weakness. Residential construction continued to post gains, but off of a low base. Single-family home construction,

Cheer and Chill in November Data

Real GDP was revised up to a whopping 5.0% rate of growth in the third quarter from a 3.9% estimate previously, The revision is unusually large for a third cut of the data. Moreover, revisions were up for all the right reasons, notably stronger domestic demand. We also saw an even stronger surge

Industrial Production Rebounds

Industrial production rebounded 1.3% in the month of November and was revised up for the month of October, when weakness in the mining and utilities sector took a toll on overall gains. Upward revisions were made back to June, which helps explain some of the buildup in inventories that we saw in the third quarter. [...]

Manufacturing Data Mixed

The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) flash manufacturing index slowed in November with a worrisome shortfall in both new orders and actual manufacturing activity. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) index for manufacturing activity, however, held up somewhat better with gains in new orders and production offsetting some moderation in hiring.

Small Decline in Industrial Production Does not Derail Recovery

Industrial production slipped by 0.1% in October, mostly because of declines in mining and utilities output. After the strong gains in September, today’s decline does not come as a complete surprise because many expected a temporary payback; it is a partial disappointment. Compared to one year ago, manufacturing output grew by a solid 3.7%, a [...]