Tag Archives: retail sales

Consumers Emerge From Cave

Retail sales jumped 1.2% in May from April as hibernating consumers emerged from their caves. Vehicle sales fueled overall gains but were not as strong as we expected, given the near-record, 17.8 million-unit, annualized pace we saw for the month. Incentives were sweetened to drain dealer inventories. Some of the gains we saw also likely [...]

Consumers Emerge from Hibernation

Retail sales jumped 0.9% in March, coming in only slightly below the consensus. Gains were driven by big-ticket spending on vehicles and furniture. Pent-up demand and damages created by unusually harsh winter storms helped to spur the rebound in spending. Building materials and garden stores reported higher sales as the temperatures rose and people emerged [...]

Retail Sales Hit by Heavy Snow

Retail sales fell a disappointing 0.6% in February. Snow days were worse in February than in January (particularly in the South and parts of the West that don’t usually have to deal with snow). The drop in retail sales was driven by a sharp decline in vehicle sales; that also happened last year

Retail Sales Disappoint

Retail sales dropped 0.8% in January, due in part to yet another sharp decline (9.3%) in gasoline station sales, as prices at the gas pump continued to plummet. Big-ticket spending on vehicles, furniture and appliances also slackened from the pace we saw in December.

Consumers are in the Driver’s Seat

Real GDP rose a smaller-than-expected 2.6% in the fourth quarter largely due to a surge in consumer spending, which was at least partially offset by a larger-than-expected increase in imports. (Imports subtract from overall GDP growth.) The gains in consumer spending reflect recent increases in employment, incomes and the drop in prices at the pump.

Retail Sales Disappoint

Retail sales fell almost one full percentage point in the month of December and were revised lower for the month of November. Falling prices at the gas pump, which pushed down sales another 6.5% during the month, and more than 14% from a year earlier, were the primary culprit. Losses, however, were broad-based with declines [...]

Santa Wore Deep Pockets in November

Retail sales surged 0.7% in November and were revised up for the month of October, which has become an important indicator for the holiday shopping season.

A Primer on November Employment

We expect payroll employment to rise by 205,000 in November, slightly less than the 222,000 average monthly gain for the 12 months leading up to October. Private payroll employment is expected to drop below the 200,000 threshold to 195,000 for the month.

Pleasant Upside Surprise for Third Quarter GDP

Real GDP in the third quarter was revised up to 3.9% from an initial estimate of 3.5%, a welcome upward surprise in growth. Moreover, most of the rise was due to positive factors, such as stronger-than-initially-estimated consumer spending and business investment. Exports were revised down, reflecting weakness abroad

Consumers Deliver for Halloween

Retail sales rose 0.3% in October, slightly more than expected. U.S. consumers are spending some of the increased income that they are gaining from recent job growth, increased working hours and lower prices at the pump. Indeed, core retail sales, which exclude vehicle and gasoline sales, jumped 0.6% during the month with broad-based gains in [...]