Tag Archives: trade

Trade Deficit Balloons

The U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly widened to $46.6 billion in December from $39.8 billion in November. The data for November were revised to show a slightly larger deficit than was initially reported. Exports fell, while imports picked up a bit. Much of that shift was concentrated in trade with Canada and Mexico,

Falling Oil Prices Reduce Trade Deficit

The trade deficit narrowed more than expected again in November, with imports dropping more than exports. A fall in oil imports, due to the sharp drop in energy prices we have seen in recent months, was the primary reason for weakening imports. Exports were hurt by a drop in aircraft shipments,

Falling Oil Pushes Down Import Prices

Imports fell 1.3%, due mostly due to a sharp downdraft in energy prices. Energy prices alone fell 6.9% during the month. More worrisome is that import prices excluding oil were also down slightly and have been falling for several months. That reflects the disinflationary effect that a strong dollar is beginning to have on import [...]

Trade Deficit Widens

The trade deficit widened from $40 billion in August to $43 billion in September. Imports were essentially unchanged while exports declined slightly. Exports of industrial materials and supplies, which include telecommunications equipment and capital goods, were particularly weak.

Real GDP Holds Strong

Real GDP rose 3.5% in the third quarter after rebounding at a 4.6% pace in the second quarter. We have been trying to regain ground lost to unusually harsh winter weather in the first quarter of the year when real GDP declined by 2.1%. Most components of real GDP decelerated after the catch-up we saw [...]

Weak GDP to Affect How Fed Talks about Data

Real GDP grew a negligible 0.1% in the first quarter of 2014, after expanding 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2013. Much of the weakness is attributed to extreme weather, although some decreases were larger than expected. It’s important to note that GDP for this initial estimate is compiled from the earliest data available for [...]

U.S. Trade Deteriorates

The trade deficit widened more than expected in February, as imports rose and exports fell. Imports of vehicles were particularly strong; that could be a problem for domestic vehicle producers going forward even as sales come back, which they did strongly in March. Japanese and Korean producers, in particular, now have unusually large pricing advantages [...]